Friday, December 28, 2012

Reviewing my 2012 Predictions

Let's do some navel-gazing as 2012 closes and see how well my predictions stacked up against reality:

Politics:
* Mitt Romney wins the GOP Nomination.  He finishes in the top 3 in Iowa, which neither Gingrich nor Perry can do.  After Super Tuesday, he has such a large lead (and his opponents split among too many candidates) that it will be impossible to stop him.
===>  Pretty much true.  Rick Santorum hung around a while, but Romney was never in serious danger of losing the nomination.
 
* He picks Tim Pawtenly as his VP nominee, though rumors abound that he considers Condaleeza Rice
 ===>  Wrong here- Paul Ryan was the VP nominee
 
* President Obama retains Joe Biden as his VP, despite rumors of a swap with Hilary Clinton
===>  Pretty much right- there was talk of a swap, but it never amount to much.
 
* In November, the Romney/Pawtenly ticket wins the Presidency.  The House flips to the Democrats, while the Senate flips to the GOP, continuing a gridlocked government.
===>  More than wrong here.  I still don't understand how anyone can look at the last four years and think Obama deserves re-election.  Then again, I may be the only person who became a bigger fan of Romney as the year went on, so my opinions probably aren't a good analogue for the rest of the country.


Sports:
* The Green Bay Packers beat the Baltimore Ravens in Super Bowl XLVI.
===>  Wrong.  The New York Giants beat the New England Patriots.
 
* The Miami Heat win the NBA title over the Memphis Grizzlies, and about 19,000,000 stories will be written about LeBron James 'overcoming his personal demons' to win.
===>   Wrong on the opponent, but Right about the deification of James. 
 
* The LA Angels, having spent enough money on Albert Pujols to buy the salaries for the Boston Red Sox AND the Texas Rangers for next year, still won't make the playoffs. 
===>  Right on the nose here.  Heck, the Angels finished third!
 
* The New York Yankees will beat the Philadelphia Phillies in the World Series
===>  Wrong, wrong, wrong.  The San Francisco Giants swept the Detroit Tigers


Games and Entertainment:
* Despite having no good reason to continue, the United States ban on online poker will remain
===>  Sadly still true.
 
* At Wrestlemania 28, John Cena will defeat the Rock, while CM Punk will retain the WWE title against a heel Daniel Bryan
===>  Wrong on both.  Rock beat Cena, Punk fought a heel Jericho.
 
* 'Avengers' will be good but not great.  'The Dark Knight Rises' will be lacking compared to the first two movies.
===>  Wrong here.  The Avengers turned out to be a great movie.  'The Dark Knight Rises' was a fitting end to the trilogy.


Other:
* The world will not end on December 21st.  Mayan experts will be quoted as saying, "Oops."
===>  Well- we're still here.  
 
* I will go through a two month period without posting anything, then post six times within a two week period.  Both of the people who read this blog will appreciate it.
 ===>  Pretty much.  I skipped all of March, then went on a binge in August.  

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Overall, not that good.  And this is why you should not bet based on my prognostications.