Friday, October 21, 2016

NBA Predictions 2016-2017


Eastern Conference:
1.     Cleveland
2.     Boston
3.     Toronto
4.     Indiana
5.     Detroit
6.     Milwaukee
7.     Washington
8.     Atlanta

9.     Charlotte
10.   Philadelphia
11.   Chicago
12.   Miami
13.   New York
14.   Orlando
15.   Brooklyn


Playoffs:
•             Cleveland over Atlanta, Boston over Washington, Milwaukee over Toronto, Detroit over Indiana
•             Cleveland over Detroit, Milwaukee over Boston
•             Cleveland over Milwaukee




Western Conference:
1.     Golden State
2.     San Antonio
3.     Houston
4.     Minnesota
5.     Oklahoma City
6.     Utah
7.     Portland
8.     Memphis

9.     New Orleans
10.   LA Clippers
11.   Dallas   
12.   Denver
13.   Phoenix
14.   LA Lakers
15.   Sacramento

Playoffs:
•             Golden State over Memphis, San Antonio over Portland, Houston over Utah, Minnesota over OKC
•             Golden State over Minnesota, Houston over San Antonio
•             Golden State over Houston



More notes:
•             I was really high on Milwaukee and Minnesota last year.  I’m still betting high on both
•             The Clippers are the team I think are going to fall apart.  I wouldn’t be shocked if Paul or Griffin are traded at the deadline. 
•             The Western Division from 6-11 is a crapshoot- it really could go in any order.  Same with the Eastern Conference 4-9
•             Early guesses on the Lottery:  (1) Boston (via Brooklyn)  (2) LA Lakers (3) Miami
•             Top 4 guesses for the MVP:  (1)  Karl Anthony-Towns (2) James Harden (3) Paul George (4) Russell Westbrook.  No way anyone on Golden State wins, because they are likely to ‘only’ win 65 games. 
•             NBA Finals prediction:  Golden State upgraded from Harrison Barnes to Kevin Durant.  Let me say that again- the Warriors, who were four points away from winning the title, upgraded from Harrison Barnes to KEVIN DURANT.  But they also sacrificed their depth.  So that’s why they won’t win nearly as many games as they did last year. 

But just as importantly, the NBA West will take a step back this year.  The Spurs have lost Duncan, their heart and soul.  While I still think the Spurs will finish with 55 wins, I don’t see how they get better than last year.  The Clippers are (in my humble opinion) going to fall apart.  Minnesota WILL be a serious threat- but this year will be one step forward, not five steps forward.  For someone to stop Golden State, they’ll have to be worn out- and I think the path to get to the finals will be easier this year than last year.

We’re getting Cleveland-Golden State in the finals for the third year in a row.  Each team has won once.  Barring injuries, Golden State takes the rubber match in 6 games

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